Sunday 29 April 2018, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
87%
9%
4%
Home win
87.0%
Draw
9.4%
Away win
3.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.4% | 10.68 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 3.6% | 27.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.4% | 41.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.2% | 9.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
| No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Guingamp | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
6.8
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.2
|
7.3
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.9
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.4
|
3.8
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Paris Saint Germain
9-0
Guingamp
Aug 2018
Guingamp
1-3
Paris Saint Germain
Aug 2017
Guingamp
0-3
Paris Saint Germain
Apr 2017
Paris Saint Germain
4-0
Guingamp
Dec 2016
Guingamp
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.