Sunday 3 December 2017, 18:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
19%
24%
58%
Home win
18.6%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
57.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Lyon | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.0% | 6.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Caen / Lyon | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
10.2
|
10.2
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
11.2
|
9.9
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
5.2
|
4.8
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.7
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Lyon
4-0
Caen
Sep 2018
Caen
2-2
Lyon
Mar 2018
Lyon
1-0
Caen
Jan 2017
Caen
3-2
Lyon
Aug 2016
Lyon
2-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.