Sunday 19 November 2017, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
73%
16%
10%
Home win
73.5%
Draw
16.2%
Away win
10.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.2% | 6.17 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 10.3% | 9.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 29.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Lyon / Montpellier | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
7.4
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
9.2
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.8
|
8.0
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
5.2
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.0
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Montpellier
1-4
Lyon
Jan 2025
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Feb 2024
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Aug 2023
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
May 2023
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Oct 2022
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.