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Friday 20 October 2017, 21:45 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
52% 28% 20%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
20.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 52.0% 1.92
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Montpellier 20.0% 4.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.22
Over 1.5 67.4% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.6% 3.07
Over 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.09
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.7% 2.29
No 56.3% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 80.0% 1.25
Saint Etienne / Montpellier 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Montpellier 48.0% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
7.5
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.2
12.9
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
11.0
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.4
4.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.