Sunday 1 October 2017, 16:00
Stade de l'Aube
Full time
35%
36%
29%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
36.1%
Away win
28.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 20.0% | 5.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 8.6% | 11.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.7% | 37.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| No | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes / Draw | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes / Saint Etienne | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
20.0
|
13.9
|
5.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.2
|
13.8
|
5.0
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
5.8
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Saint Etienne
1-1
Estac Troyes
Nov 2021
Estac Troyes
0-1
Saint Etienne
Apr 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Estac Troyes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.