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Saturday 23 September 2017, 21:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
36% 32% 32%
Home win
36.4%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
31.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 36.4% 2.74
Draw 31.9% 3.14
Estac Troyes 31.7% 3.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.39
Over 1.5 61.9% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.1% 2.62
Over 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Under 2.5 66.0% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.48
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.11
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.37
No 57.9% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 68.3% 1.46
Metz / Estac Troyes 68.1% 1.47
Draw / Estac Troyes 63.6% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
11.7
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
12.9
14.3
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
7.4
7.3
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.6
2.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Estac Troyes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.