Wednesday 29 November 2017, 20:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
76%
15%
9%
Home win
76.0%
Draw
15.5%
Away win
8.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.5% | 6.47 | — | — |
| Lille | 8.6% | 11.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 27.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Lyon / Lille | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
9.0
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.9
|
7.8
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.5
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.4
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lyon
1-0
Lille
Sep 2025
Lille
0-1
Lyon
Apr 2025
Lyon
2-1
Lille
Nov 2024
Lille
1-1
Lyon
May 2024
Lille
3-4
Lyon
Nov 2023
Lyon
0-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.