Monday 20 November 2017, 20:00
Stade de la Licorne
Full time
39%
35%
26%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
34.7%
Away win
25.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Lille | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.0% | 10.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.2% | 30.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| No | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Amiens / Lille | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
18.3
|
12.3
|
4.9
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
13.8
|
4.9
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
6.5
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2019
Amiens
1-0
Lille
Jan 2019
Lille
2-1
Amiens
Sep 2018
Amiens
2-3
Lille
Apr 2018
Lille
0-1
Amiens
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.