Saturday 14 October 2017, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
38%
34%
28%
Home win
37.6%
Draw
34.4%
Away win
28.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.5% | 28.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| No | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Lille / Estac Troyes | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.5
|
12.7
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.6
|
14.0
|
5.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
6.5
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2023
Estac Troyes
1-1
Lille
Jan 2023
Lille
5-1
Estac Troyes
May 2022
Estac Troyes
3-0
Lille
Dec 2021
Lille
2-1
Estac Troyes
Jan 2018
Estac Troyes
1-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.