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Friday 22 September 2017, 21:45 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Full time
0–4
HT 0–2
16% 22% 63%
Home win
15.6%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
62.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille 15.6% 6.42
Draw 21.9% 4.57
Monaco 62.5% 1.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.86
Over 1.5 79.6% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.4% 4.90
Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 3.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 3.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.3% 5.78
Under 4.5 82.7% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.4% 1.91
No 47.6% 2.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille / Draw 37.5% 2.67
Lille / Monaco 78.1% 1.28
Draw / Monaco 84.4% 1.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
10.2
10.9
7.3
3.7
1.5
1
4.3
10.4
9.9
6.7
3.4
1.4
2
2.2
4.5
4.5
3.0
1.5
0.6
3
0.7
1.4
1.4
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lille goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.