Sunday 29 October 2017, 22:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
29%
28%
43%
Home win
29.1%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
42.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Marseille | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Lille / Marseille | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
10.7
|
8.0
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
13.4
|
8.8
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
7.0
|
4.9
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.6
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Marseille
1-2
Lille
Dec 2025
Lille
1-0
Marseille
May 2025
Lille
1-1
Marseille
Dec 2024
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Apr 2024
Lille
3-1
Marseille
Nov 2023
Marseille
0-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.