Sunday 26 November 2017, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
40%
25%
36%
Home win
39.7%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
35.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Lyon | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.8% | 5.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.6% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Nice / Lyon | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
5.8
|
4.9
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
11.1
|
8.1
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
8.6
|
6.6
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.7
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.9
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Oct 2025
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Mar 2025
Nice
0-2
Lyon
Dec 2024
Lyon
4-1
Nice
Feb 2024
Lyon
1-0
Nice
Aug 2023
Nice
0-0
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.