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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 20:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
71% 19% 10%
Home win
70.8%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
9.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 70.8% 1.41
Draw 19.5% 5.13
Nancy 9.7% 10.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.79
Over 1.5 77.0% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.0% 4.34
Over 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.2% 3.31
Under 3.5 69.8% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.8% 6.74
Under 4.5 85.2% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.9% 2.33
No 57.1% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 90.3% 1.11
Bastia / Nancy 80.5% 1.24
Draw / Nancy 29.2% 3.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
3.6
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
12.7
9.2
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.0
9.2
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
9.9
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
5.2
3.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.