Sunday 11 September 2016, 21:45
Allianz Riviera
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
56.4%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
19.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Marseille | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.8% | 5.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Nice / Marseille | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
11.2
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
9.9
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
6.2
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Marseille
1-1
Nice
Nov 2025
Nice
1-5
Marseille
Jan 2025
Nice
2-0
Marseille
Sep 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nice
Apr 2024
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Oct 2023
Nice
1-0
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.