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Sunday 11 February 2018, 22:00 Parc Olympique Lyonnais Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
70% 19% 11%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
11.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon 70.1% 1.43
Draw 18.6% 5.38
Rennes 11.3% 8.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.54
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.70
Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Over 3.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 3.5 61.8% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.7% 4.83
Under 4.5 79.3% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon / Draw 88.7% 1.13
Lyon / Rennes 81.4% 1.23
Draw / Rennes 29.9% 3.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
3.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
9.6
8.8
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.6
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
8.9
7.4
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
5.1
4.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.4
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lyon goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.