Saturday 12 May 2018, 22:00
Stade de la Licorne
Full time
57%
26%
16%
Home win
57.4%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
16.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Metz | 16.4% | 6.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.0% | 11.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens / Draw | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Amiens / Metz | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
6.4
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.6
|
12.1
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
9.1
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.