Skip to content
Sunday 28 January 2018, 16:00 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
44% 28% 28%
Home win
44.2%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
27.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille 44.2% 2.26
Draw 28.0% 3.58
Strasbourg 27.8% 3.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.26
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.5% 4.09
Under 3.5 75.5% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.0% 9.08
Under 4.5 89.0% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille / Draw 72.2% 1.39
Lille / Strasbourg 72.0% 1.39
Draw / Strasbourg 55.8% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
8.0
4.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
10.9
13.3
6.8
2.4
0.7
0.1
2
8.3
9.0
4.9
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.9
4.3
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.4
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lille goals. Columns: Strasbourg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.