Tuesday 16 January 2018, 20:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
71%
18%
11%
Home win
70.7%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
11.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.8% | 5.61 | — | — |
| Strasbourg | 11.5% | 8.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.2% | 6.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Marseille / Strasbourg | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Strasbourg | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
8.3
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.5
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
7.7
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.2
|
4.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Marseille
2-2
Strasbourg
Sep 2025
Strasbourg
1-2
Marseille
Jan 2025
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Sep 2024
Strasbourg
1-0
Marseille
Jan 2024
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Nov 2023
Strasbourg
1-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.