Sunday 11 February 2018, 18:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
49%
30%
21%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
21.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Lille | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.8% | 7.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.4% | 6.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| No | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Nantes / Lille | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.8
|
8.8
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.3
|
13.4
|
5.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
8.4
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lille
1-0
Nantes
Oct 2025
Nantes
0-2
Lille
Mar 2025
Nantes
1-0
Lille
Jan 2025
Lille
1-1
Nantes
May 2024
Nantes
1-2
Lille
Aug 2023
Lille
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.