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Friday 20 April 2018, 22:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
2–5
HT 1–1
22% 21% 57%
Home win
22.4%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
56.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 22.4% 4.47
Draw 20.9% 4.78
Lyon 56.7% 1.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.00
Over 1.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.7% 8.54
Over 2.5 70.4% 1.42
Under 2.5 29.6% 3.38
Over 3.5 49.3% 2.03
Under 3.5 50.7% 1.97
Over 4.5 30.1% 3.33
Under 4.5 69.9% 1.43

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.5% 1.48
No 32.5% 3.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 43.3% 2.31
Dijon / Lyon 79.1% 1.26
Draw / Lyon 77.6% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
5.4
6.7
5.0
2.8
1.3
1
3.1
8.7
9.3
7.0
3.9
1.8
2
2.5
5.7
6.4
4.8
2.7
1.2
3
1.2
2.6
2.9
2.2
1.2
0.6
4
0.4
0.9
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.