Saturday 17 February 2018, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
32%
34%
35%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
33.7%
Away win
34.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Rennes | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.2% | 6.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.0% | 8.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.2% | 23.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| No | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Caen / Rennes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Rennes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.2
|
14.0
|
7.1
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
14.3
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
6.1
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Rennes
3-1
Caen
Nov 2018
Caen
1-2
Rennes
Sep 2017
Rennes
0-1
Caen
May 2017
Caen
0-1
Rennes
Sep 2016
Rennes
2-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.