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Friday 2 March 2018, 21:45 Stade Louis II Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
75% 16% 9%
Home win
75.3%
Draw
15.6%
Away win
9.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 75.3% 1.33
Draw 15.6% 6.41
Bordeaux 9.1% 11.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.43
Over 1.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.5% 7.42
Over 2.5 67.4% 1.48
Under 2.5 32.6% 3.07
Over 3.5 45.7% 2.19
Under 3.5 54.3% 1.84
Over 4.5 26.9% 3.72
Under 4.5 73.1% 1.37

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.0% 1.89
No 47.0% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 90.9% 1.10
Monaco / Bordeaux 84.4% 1.18
Draw / Bordeaux 24.7% 4.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
2.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
7.8
7.3
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
10.8
9.0
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.5
7.9
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
6.3
5.2
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.3
2.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.