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Saturday 1 September 2018, 21:00 Stade de la Meinau Full time
2–3
HT 1–2
41% 30% 29%
Home win
41.5%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
29.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Strasbourg 41.5% 2.41
Draw 29.5% 3.39
Nantes 29.0% 3.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.39
Over 1.5 68.1% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.9% 3.13
Over 2.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.4% 4.90
Under 3.5 79.6% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.68
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.3% 2.11
No 52.7% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Strasbourg / Draw 71.0% 1.41
Strasbourg / Nantes 70.5% 1.42
Draw / Nantes 58.5% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
9.4
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
11.9
13.9
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.2
8.4
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.5
3.6
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.1
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Strasbourg goals. Columns: Nantes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.