Saturday 22 September 2018, 18:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
43%
30%
27%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
27.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Nantes | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.8% | 12.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Lille / Nantes | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
13.9
|
6.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.4
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lille
1-0
Nantes
Oct 2025
Nantes
0-2
Lille
Mar 2025
Nantes
1-0
Lille
Jan 2025
Lille
1-1
Nantes
May 2024
Nantes
1-2
Lille
Aug 2023
Lille
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.