Sunday 7 October 2018, 16:00
Stade Matmut-Atlantique
Full time
52%
28%
20%
Home win
52.3%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
19.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Nantes | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.8% | 9.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.5% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.3% | 12.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Nantes | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.8
|
7.5
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
12.9
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
9.0
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Nantes
5-3
Bordeaux
Oct 2021
Bordeaux
1-1
Nantes
May 2021
Nantes
3-0
Bordeaux
Aug 2020
Bordeaux
0-0
Nantes
Jan 2020
Nantes
0-1
Bordeaux
Nov 2019
Bordeaux
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.