Wednesday 26 September 2018, 20:00
Stade Matmut-Atlantique
Full time
55%
25%
20%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
19.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Lille | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 6.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Lille | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
5.6
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
11.8
|
5.4
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
9.8
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
5.8
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Lille
0-0
Bordeaux
Dec 2021
Bordeaux
2-3
Lille
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
0-3
Lille
Dec 2020
Lille
2-1
Bordeaux
Oct 2019
Lille
3-0
Bordeaux
May 2019
Lille
1-0
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.