Saturday 20 October 2018, 18:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
82%
13%
5%
Home win
81.8%
Draw
13.1%
Away win
5.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.1% | 7.66 | — | — |
| Amiens | 5.1% | 19.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Amiens | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
6.2
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
7.9
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.5
|
7.1
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.4
|
4.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.5
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Amiens
4-4
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2019
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Amiens
Jan 2019
Amiens
0-3
Paris Saint Germain
May 2018
Amiens
2-2
Paris Saint Germain
Aug 2017
Paris Saint Germain
2-0
Amiens
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.