Saturday 29 September 2018, 18:15
Allianz Riviera
Full time
18%
22%
60%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
60.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 19.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.8% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Nice / Paris Saint Germain | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Paris Saint Germain | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
9.0
|
9.8
|
6.6
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
10.3
|
10.0
|
6.8
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
5.0
|
5.1
|
3.5
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.7
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Nice
0-4
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1-0
Nice
Apr 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1-3
Nice
Oct 2024
Nice
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
May 2024
Nice
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
Sep 2023
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.