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Wednesday 26 September 2018, 22:00 Parc des Princes Full time
78% 16% 6%
Home win
78.2%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
5.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 78.2% 1.28
Draw 16.3% 6.13
Reims 5.5% 18.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.90
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.52
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.37
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.6% 3.06
No 67.4% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 94.5% 1.06
Paris Saint Germain / Reims 83.7% 1.19
Draw / Reims 21.8% 4.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
14.8
7.2
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
17.1
7.6
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
12.8
5.7
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
7.2
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Reims goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.