Sunday 7 October 2018, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
70%
17%
13%
Home win
69.8%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
13.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Lyon | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.9% | 9.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Lyon | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
7.3
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.1
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
8.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.8
|
5.3
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Lyon
Apr 2024
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Lyon
Sep 2023
Lyon
1-4
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.