Tuesday 28 November 2017, 20:00
Stade de la Licorne
Full time
50%
28%
21%
Home win
50.2%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
21.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Dijon | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens / Draw | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Amiens / Dijon | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
7.9
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.1
|
13.1
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
8.9
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2019
Amiens
1-1
Dijon
Apr 2019
Dijon
0-0
Amiens
Oct 2018
Amiens
1-0
Dijon
Mar 2018
Dijon
1-1
Amiens
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.