Saturday 3 December 2016, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
57%
25%
17%
Home win
57.4%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
17.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Lille | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Lille | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
11.9
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.5
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Lille
0-0
Bordeaux
Dec 2021
Bordeaux
2-3
Lille
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
0-3
Lille
Dec 2020
Lille
2-1
Bordeaux
Oct 2019
Lille
3-0
Bordeaux
May 2019
Lille
1-0
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.