Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
42%
32%
26%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
26.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Rennes | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.4% | 6.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.3% | 18.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
| No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Lille / Rennes | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Rennes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
10.6
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.8
|
14.0
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
7.7
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Rennes
1-2
Lille
Jan 2026
Lille
0-2
Rennes
Feb 2025
Rennes
0-2
Lille
Nov 2024
Lille
1-0
Rennes
Mar 2024
Lille
2-2
Rennes
Sep 2023
Rennes
2-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.