Saturday 10 December 2016, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
43%
27%
29%
Home win
43.4%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
29.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.0% | 7.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Lille / Montpellier | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
7.6
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
13.0
|
7.2
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
9.0
|
5.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
4.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Dec 2024
Montpellier
2-2
Lille
Jan 2024
Montpellier
0-0
Lille
Sep 2023
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Apr 2023
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
Sep 2022
Montpellier
1-3
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.