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Saturday 3 December 2016, 18:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
Montpellier
3–0
HT 1–0
Paris Saint Germain
16% 23% 62%
Home win
15.9%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
61.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 15.9% 6.31 — —
Draw 22.6% 4.43 — —
Paris Saint Germain 61.6% 1.62 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07 — —
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.38 — —
Over 1.5 78.0% 1.28 — —
Under 1.5 22.0% 4.55 — —
Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Under 2.5 46.2% 2.16 — —
Over 3.5 31.5% 3.17 — —
Under 3.5 68.5% 1.46 — —
Over 4.5 15.7% 6.36 — —
Under 4.5 84.3% 1.19 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96 — —
No 49.0% 2.04 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 38.4% 2.60 — —
Montpellier / Paris Saint Germain 77.4% 1.29 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 84.2% 1.19 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
10.9
11.2
7.2
3.5
1.4
1
4.6
10.8
9.9
6.4
3.1
1.2
2
2.3
4.5
4.4
2.8
1.4
0.5
3
0.7
1.3
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.2
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Montpellier
D W D D L
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W W

Head to head

May 2025 Montpellier 1-4 Paris Saint Germain Aug 2024 Paris Saint Germain 6-0 Montpellier Mar 2024 Montpellier 2-6 Paris Saint Germain Nov 2023 Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Montpellier Feb 2023 Montpellier 1-3 Paris Saint Germain Aug 2022 Paris Saint Germain 5-2 Montpellier

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.