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Saturday 24 February 2018, 21:00 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
43% 30% 27%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille 43.1% 2.32
Draw 29.9% 3.34
Angers 27.0% 3.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.73
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.8% 2.96
Over 2.5 38.8% 2.58
Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.8% 5.31
Under 3.5 81.2% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 13.04
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.3% 2.21
No 54.7% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Lille / Angers 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Angers 56.9% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
9.4
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.9
13.9
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.8
8.4
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.7
3.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lille goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.