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Saturday 6 May 2017, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
82% 14% 4%
Home win
82.3%
Draw
13.6%
Away win
4.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 82.3% 1.22
Draw 13.6% 7.37
Bastia 4.2% 23.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.28
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.77
Over 2.5 55.7% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.3% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.3% 3.01
Under 3.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.0% 5.88
Under 4.5 83.0% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.0% 3.13
No 68.0% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 95.8% 1.04
Paris Saint Germain / Bastia 86.4% 1.16
Draw / Bastia 17.7% 5.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
13.2
6.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
16.8
7.1
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
14.0
5.9
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
8.7
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
4.3
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.