Saturday 6 October 2018, 18:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
39%
29%
32%
Home win
38.8%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
31.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Lille / Saint Etienne | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
9.7
|
5.8
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
13.9
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
8.2
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Lille
4-1
Saint Etienne
Sep 2024
Saint Etienne
1-0
Lille
Mar 2022
Lille
0-0
Saint Etienne
Aug 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lille
May 2021
Lille
0-0
Saint Etienne
Nov 2020
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.