Sunday 30 September 2018, 22:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
26%
24%
50%
Home win
26.2%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
49.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Marseille | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.7% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Lille / Marseille | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
7.6
|
7.5
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.1
|
9.6
|
5.8
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
6.7
|
6.1
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.9
|
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Marseille
1-2
Lille
Dec 2025
Lille
1-0
Marseille
May 2025
Lille
1-1
Marseille
Dec 2024
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Apr 2024
Lille
3-1
Marseille
Nov 2023
Marseille
0-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.