Wednesday 26 September 2018, 20:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
73%
16%
11%
Home win
72.9%
Draw
16.0%
Away win
11.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.0% | 6.24 | — | — |
| Strasbourg | 11.1% | 9.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.1% | 8.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Marseille / Strasbourg | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Strasbourg | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
7.0
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
9.0
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
8.1
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
5.5
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.0
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Marseille
2-2
Strasbourg
Sep 2025
Strasbourg
1-2
Marseille
Jan 2025
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Sep 2024
Strasbourg
1-0
Marseille
Jan 2024
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Nov 2023
Strasbourg
1-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.