Sunday 30 April 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
37%
29%
34%
Home win
36.9%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
34.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Chievo | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 11.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Genoa / Chievo | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
9.3
|
6.2
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
13.6
|
7.8
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
8.2
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
Sep 2018
Genoa
2-0
Chievo
Feb 2018
Chievo
0-1
Genoa
Sep 2017
Genoa
1-1
Chievo
Dec 2016
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.