Sunday 2 April 2017, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
58%
26%
16%
Home win
57.7%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
16.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Crotone | 16.0% | 6.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Chievo / Crotone | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
6.4
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.1
|
12.0
|
4.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.0
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.