Sunday 12 March 2017, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
52%
31%
17%
Home win
52.4%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
16.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Empoli | 16.7% | 5.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.0% | 6.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.1% | 8.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.2% | 23.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Chievo / Empoli | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.0
|
8.5
|
2.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.8
|
12.4
|
3.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
7.5
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.