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Sunday 12 February 2017, 16:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
1–3
HT 1–1
47% 28% 25%
Home win
47.0%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
25.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 47.0% 2.13
Draw 27.6% 3.63
Chievo 25.5% 3.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.32
Over 1.5 72.3% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.7% 3.61
Over 2.5 46.0% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.5% 4.07
Under 3.5 75.5% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.1% 9.03
Under 4.5 88.9% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.4% 1.98
No 49.6% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 74.5% 1.34
Sassuolo / Chievo 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Chievo 53.0% 1.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
7.6
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
11.3
13.1
6.4
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.2
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.4
4.5
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Chievo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.