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Sunday 15 January 2017, 16:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
4–1
HT 2–1
59% 23% 18%
Home win
58.7%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
18.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 58.7% 1.70
Draw 23.0% 4.34
Palermo 18.2% 5.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.66
Over 1.5 79.5% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.5% 4.88
Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Over 3.5 33.5% 2.98
Under 3.5 66.5% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.2% 5.82
Under 4.5 82.8% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.3% 1.84
No 45.7% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 81.8% 1.22
Sassuolo / Palermo 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Palermo 41.3% 2.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
4.7
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
9.8
10.9
5.1
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
9.9
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
6.5
6.4
3.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
3.1
3.1
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.