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Sunday 11 December 2016, 16:00 Renzo Barbera Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
29% 34% 38%
Home win
28.7%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
37.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 28.7% 3.49
Draw 33.6% 2.98
Chievo 37.8% 2.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.8% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.2% 6.17
Over 1.5 56.6% 1.77
Under 1.5 43.4% 2.30
Over 2.5 28.9% 3.47
Under 2.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.0% 8.30
Under 3.5 88.0% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.2% 23.93
Under 4.5 95.8% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.4% 2.67
No 62.6% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 62.2% 1.61
Palermo / Chievo 66.4% 1.51
Draw / Chievo 71.3% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.2
14.9
8.0
2.7
0.7
0.1
1
12.3
14.2
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
5.6
5.7
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
3
1.6
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Chievo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.