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Sunday 6 November 2016, 16:00 Renzo Barbera Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
23% 28% 50%
Home win
22.9%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
49.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 22.9% 4.37
Draw 27.6% 3.63
AC Milan 49.5% 2.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.53
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.41
Over 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 3.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.0% 9.97
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.0% 2.09
No 52.0% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 50.5% 1.98
Palermo / AC Milan 72.4% 1.38
Draw / AC Milan 77.1% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
12.4
9.8
4.9
1.8
0.5
1
7.5
13.0
9.2
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
3.8
5.8
4.3
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.2
1.8
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.