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Sunday 23 October 2016, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
4–1
HT 1–0
70% 20% 10%
Home win
69.6%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
10.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 69.6% 1.44
Draw 20.2% 4.96
Palermo 10.2% 9.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.02
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 2.5 48.9% 2.04
Over 3.5 29.0% 3.45
Under 3.5 71.0% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.15
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.7% 2.34
No 57.3% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 89.8% 1.11
AS Roma / Palermo 79.8% 1.25
Draw / Palermo 30.4% 3.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
3.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
13.0
9.5
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
14.0
9.2
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
9.6
6.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
4.9
3.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.