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Sunday 12 March 2017, 21:45 Renzo Barbera Full time
0–3
HT 0–1
10% 18% 72%
Home win
10.1%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
71.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 10.1% 9.89
Draw 18.1% 5.51
AS Roma 71.8% 1.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.39
Over 1.5 81.5% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.5% 5.41
Over 2.5 59.1% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.9% 2.45
Over 3.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 3.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.6% 5.11
Under 4.5 80.4% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.3% 2.07
No 51.7% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 28.2% 3.54
Palermo / AS Roma 81.9% 1.22
Draw / AS Roma 89.9% 1.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
10.3
12.4
9.6
5.5
2.5
1
3.0
8.6
9.4
7.2
4.2
1.9
2
1.3
3.1
3.6
2.7
1.6
0.7
3
0.3
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.