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Sunday 5 February 2017, 19:00 Renzo Barbera Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
40% 29% 31%
Home win
40.1%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
31.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 40.1% 2.49
Draw 28.5% 3.51
Crotone 31.4% 3.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 10.98
Over 1.5 71.7% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.3% 3.53
Over 2.5 45.2% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.8% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.9% 4.18
Under 3.5 76.1% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.38
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 68.6% 1.46
Palermo / Crotone 71.5% 1.40
Draw / Crotone 59.9% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
8.8
5.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
10.4
13.6
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.4
8.5
4.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
3.3
3.8
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.1
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Crotone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.